OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns
OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns
0
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has issued a warning about a potential slowdown in Australia's economic growth over the next two years.
This prediction comes against the backdrop of heightened global uncertainty, spurred by trade policies introduced by US President Donald Trump.
The OECD projects Australia’s GDP to rise to 1.9% in 2025 but slip slightly to 1.8% in 2026, falling short of earlier expectations laid out in their December report.
Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.
The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.
The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.
: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.
As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.
Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the nation's largest lender, has expressed concerns over the current surge in home loan demand, suggesting it may be contributing to escalating property prices and posing risks to long-term financial stability. CEO Matt Comyn addressed these issues during a recent parliamentary hearing, emphasizing the need for more sustainable credit growth in the housing sector. - read more
In a notable shift, Australian consumer sentiment has turned optimistic in November 2025, marking the first positive outlook since early 2022. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute survey revealed a 12.8% surge in the consumer sentiment index, reaching 103.8. This level, excluding the pandemic period, represents a seven-year high and indicates that optimists now outnumber pessimists among Australian consumers. - read more
In November 2025, Tropical Cyclone Fina developed in the Arafura Sea, intensifying as it approached Australia's Northern Territory. The cyclone brought destructive winds and heavy rainfall to the Tiwi Islands and the Greater Darwin region, leading to widespread disruptions. - read more
Financial harmony involves the smooth and balanced management of personal finances, where debts and savings are optimally aligned to achieve financial stability and peace of mind. - read more
An accurate credit report is essential because it directly affects your financial health and borrowing ability. Lenders use your credit report to assess your reliability as a borrower. Accurate information can help you secure loans and favorable interest rates. - read more
Personal loans in Australia are a popular financial tool for managing various expenses, from consolidating debt to funding major purchases or covering emergency costs. - read more
