OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns
OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns
0
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has issued a warning about a potential slowdown in Australia's economic growth over the next two years.
This prediction comes against the backdrop of heightened global uncertainty, spurred by trade policies introduced by US President Donald Trump.
The OECD projects Australia’s GDP to rise to 1.9% in 2025 but slip slightly to 1.8% in 2026, falling short of earlier expectations laid out in their December report.
Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.
The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.
The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.
: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.
As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.
Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
As 2026 approaches, Australia's major banks have released forecasts indicating potential interest rate hikes, sparking concerns about a renewed cost of living crisis. The 'big four' banks-Commonwealth Bank, National Australia Bank (NAB), Westpac, and ANZ-have dismissed the likelihood of rate cuts in the coming year, with some predicting increases as early as February. - read more
In the 2025 Consumer Finance Awards, Macquarie Bank has been honoured as the Money Minder of the Year by Money magazine. This accolade highlights the bank's exceptional performance in managing Australians' savings and term deposits. - read more
In the latest Consumer Finance Awards, Commonwealth Bank has been named Business Bank of the Year 2025 by Money magazine. This recognition reflects the bank's unwavering support for Australia's small and medium enterprises (SMEs). - read more
Financial harmony involves the smooth and balanced management of personal finances, where debts and savings are optimally aligned to achieve financial stability and peace of mind. - read more
The landscape of personal finance is continuously evolving, and in Australia, this includes the manner in which debt is managed. In recent times, an increasing number of Australians have found themselves navigating the complex maze of personal debt, from credit cards to student loans, and grappling with the impact this has on their financial well-being. - read more
Creditworthiness represents a cornerstone in the world of finance, serving as the gauge by which lenders assess an individual's reliability in repaying debt. It's this measurement that can open doors to various financing opportunities or, conversely, become a barrier to accessing essential credit lines. So, what is creditworthiness, and why does it matter? - read more
